If Orange County winds up on the list, and if current trends arent reversed, a renewed lockdown might be on the table.
In Orange County, that number has grown regularly since the start of the pandemic.
But without voluntary action at the county level, the state can action in.
“If the county makes inadequate or no progress, and the regional jurisdiction refuses to act, the State Public Health Officer may do something about it,” Egel said.
The spread of coronavirus in Orange County has actually grown so fast in current weeks that the county soon could be on the states watch list for possible renewed lockdown orders.
Dr. Clayton Chau, Orange Countys acting health officer, said the Health Care Agency is talking regularly with the state health department and keeps track of information daily to notify response strategies.
The Orange County Health Care Agency data that the Southern California News Group evaluated differs slightly from the information the state health department is using to track counties.
Orange County put one toe over one line on Friday, June 26, when the positive test rate locally hit 8.5%, simply over the 8% limitation set by the state.
On Friday, the county reported the new number was 98– simply under the state watch-list threshold of 100.
Orange Countys health agency, on the other hand, offers the number of brand-new cases recorded by the agency on a given day, despite when an individual was checked, leading to various rates.
By Friday, 15 of the states 58 counties were on the watch list. Egel stated those counties may consider restoring limitations on non-essential organisation, or issue more general stay-at home orders.
By comparison, Los Angeles County had a new-case rate of 199 per 100,000. And in Imperial County– which was put under more stringent orders on Friday– the rate was a state high 680 new cases per 100,000 individuals. Both counties have been on the watch list considering that June 5.
Corey Egel, acting deputy director of public affairs at the state health department, said state authorities first will work with regional health departments and county leaders for “targeted engagement,” laying out specifics as to why a county is seeing higher levels of illness transmission, hospitalization, or is dealing with minimal medical facility capability.
Also on Friday, the county reported that COVID-related hospitalizations grew 17.6% over the previous three days, well over the state threshold of 10%.
On Friday, Gov. Gavin Newsom contacted Imperial County– where coronavirus cases and hospitalizations have actually risen– to renew stay-at-home orders that would limit operations at non-essential services and re-close lots of other locations of public life.
“If the tracking metrics result in OC being flagged by the State, the HCA will work closely with the State to identify any additional mitigation methods that might be needed,” Chau said.
For measures such as case rates over two weeks, state health department analyses overlook information thats less than three days old because of widespread hold-ups in reporting test results.
On April 1st, the rate was 17 new cases per 100,000 citizens, according to county records. In early May, it was 31 and a month later on it was 61.
Before taking such actions, state officials will discuss other actions with the regional health departments, such as more aggressive screening, additional contact tracing, and taking new techniques to manage healthcare resources and infection control.
If such a move is taken in Orange County, it might come in stages.
Its uncertain if the new data will trigger the state to put Orange County on its watch list, which already consists of Los Angeles, San Bernardino and Riverside counties, to name a few. State officials look for a minimum of 3 days of information to establish a trend before deciding to add counties to the watch list.
Locally, 2 key metrics used by state and regional health authorities to determine the spread of the disease– rates of brand-new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 citizens and the percentage of people who test positive for the infection– are already at or beyond the states watch-list limit.
Los Angeles County, for instance, is seeing a high rate of coronavirus cases since of its high screening capacity, and since its evaluating all citizens and personnel at more than 200 proficient nursing centers.
The most recent information recommends Orange County is beginning to breach state limits in another essential metric– the variety of brand-new cases per 100,000 people reported over a three-week period.
The state counts brand-new cases by “episode date,” the earliest date a person could have been contaminated.
On Friday, Newsom said the state has actually paused in issuing standards to assist counties to relieve limitations on organisations and public centers.